The Sovereign Debt Investor

Expert overview of the sovereign debt asset class for investors In The Sovereign Debt Investor: An Essential Guide to Returns, Defaults, And Government Bonds, veteran investor and sovereign debt expert Lupin Rahman delivers expert insight into global government debt markets, highlighting the unique risks and compelling opportunities of this asset class. This book bring together expertise from the world of bond investing, policy making, academia and law to which bring to life specific issues and intricacies in sovereign debt investing. In this book, readers will learn about: Instruments (bonds and derivatives) and vehicles (mutual funds, separate accounts) available for investing in sovereign debt Sovereign credit risk analysis and what factors help identify “winners” and “losers” Key factors in building sovereign debt portfolios Recent changes in the asset class spurred by international financial trends, geopolitics, and global trends such as tackling climate change. Delivering both foundational knowledge on sovereign debt and a review of the tools and strategies needed to generate and protect investment returns, The Sovereign Debt Investor: An Essential Guide to Returns, Defaults, And Government Bonds, earns a well-deserved spot on the bookshelves of portfolio and asset managers, institutional investors, economic policymakers and academics.

Introduction 1 Part I: the Investible Universe 3 Chapter 1: The Strategic Case for Sovereign Debt 5 Chapter 2: Instruments: Government Bonds and Loans 15 Chapter 3: Financial Derivatives Linked to Sovereign Risk 25 Part II: Credit and Contract Analysis 39 Chapter 4: Fundamental Sovereign Analysis 41 Chapter 5: Sovereign Credit Ratings 69 Chapter 6: Risk Indicators and Debt Sustainability 89 Chapter 7: Bond Contracts and Legal Considerations 101 Part III: Generating Risk-adjusted Returns 123 Chapter 8: Sovereign Bond Math and Portfolio Metrics 125 Chapter 9: Trading Sovereign Bonds 145 Chapter 10: Investment Objectives, Strategy, and Vehicles 159 Chapter 11: Constructing a Sovereign Debt Portfolio 169 Chapter 12: Active Investment Strategies 185 Chapter 13: Portfolio Maintenance, Risk Management, and Performance Attribution 197 Chapter 14: Trading a Portfolio Through Risk Events 209 Part IV: Managing Distressed Positions 221 Chapter 15: An Introduction to Sovereign Defaults 223 Chapter 16: The Debt Restructuring Process 241 Chapter 17: Navigating Portfolios Through Distress 257 Chapter 18: Outcomes of Sovereign Debt Restructurings 271 Part V: Innovations and Future Trends 287 Chapter 19: Sustainable Investing 289 Chapter 20: The Next Frontier: Digitization, AI, and Big Data 305 Acknowledgments 315 About the Author 317 Index 319